Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026
One-OffIATecnologiaCiência2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 88.6%
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66
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado5/12/22, 06:41 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Let's operationalize it this way:
- "If Eliezer either expresses that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, or Eliezer strongly implies that he feels this way (eg. by indicating that it is more useful than an additional MIRI-level researcher), then we consider this market resolved to YES."
