Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.6%
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38
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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 5 minutos
17/07/26, 09:14 UTC17/10/26, 09:14 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolves YES, if, before October 17:
- no new Haiku is released (newer than Haiku 4.5)
- Haiku doesn't appear anymore on the Claude web app
- Haiku is going to be deprecated.
- Sonnet is going to be the Haiku.
- Opus is going to be the new sonnet.