Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 84%
Previsores
45
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado9/05/25, 14:04 UTC31/12/39, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Catholic Church train a PopeGPT and endorse it as doctrinally sound by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
FutuurWill Bryan Johnson face public censure from the Catholic Church by 2034?
Manifold MarketsWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegras
Will resolve positively if by 2040 Catholic church officially reconizes that at least some AIs may have souls.
- In the context of this question, AI includes any sort of entities executed on a traditional or quantum computer, including ML models, code and full brain emulations.
- For the question to resolve as YES, the Catholic church has to either explicitly declare that AIs have souls, or to declare that AIs have moral standing at least at the level of higher animals.
- Recognizing that an AIs can sin or suffer also qualifies.
- If by 2040-01-01 I haven't seen any relevant news and none have been linked in this posts comments, I will resolve the questions as NO by default.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 325 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 84% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040? é resolvido?
- Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2039.
- Como Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will resolve positively if by 2040 Catholic church officially reconizes that at least some AIs may have souls.