Previsão da comunidade atual
Before 2040 53.4%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado14/06/26, 18:29 UTC31/12/40, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
Manifold MarketsDark matter used as reaction mass by spacecraft before 2100
Manifold MarketsWill a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach orbit before 2035?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegras
Not including ISRU.
Mercados abertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 103,1 mil
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- € 57,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 57,4 mil
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- € 817,9 mil
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By when will there be an unresupplied crewed spacecraft flight longer than 150 days??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before 2040 em 53% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando By when will there be an unresupplied crewed spacecraft flight longer than 150 days? é resolvido?
- By when will there be an unresupplied crewed spacecraft flight longer than 150 days? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2040.
- Como By when will there be an unresupplied crewed spacecraft flight longer than 150 days? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Not including ISRU.