By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]?

A Manifold Markets cota No em 65.6% em 30 de outubro de 2026.

Quando By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT] é resolvido?

By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT] deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.

Como By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT] é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: TODO for more exact resolution criteria, but overall it will probably end up being resolved according to my subjective judgement.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+1.7pt56.2%
• Claude+1.2pt36.2%
• ChatGPT-0.6pt6.1%

+5 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 14,5 mi

Volume 24h

€ 129,1 mil

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T-6.8pt89%
• ↑$1.75T-4.5pt81%
• ↑$2.0T-8.0pt65%

+11 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T30%
• $1.5–$1.75T+5.5pt23%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.3pt19%

+7 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-1.1pt92%
• November 30-10.5pt80%
• November 19-3.5pt72%

+27 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+0.5pt53.1%
• Anthropic-4.1pt46.9%
• ByteDance0%

+9 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

• 1.5T+-2.3pt37%
• No IPO by December 31, 2027-1.6pt21%
• 1.25T–1.5T+1.0pt12%

+4 mais resultados

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• Anthropic IPO by which date?
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• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?