Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]?

A Manifold Markets cota No em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.

By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]

IAOne-Off3a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 65.6%

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Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

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Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 15 horas

Desatualizado

20/09/23, 22:41 UTC1/01/30, 22:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

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By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]

IAOne-Off3a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 65.6%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 15 horas

Desatualizado

20/09/23, 22:41 UTC1/01/30, 22:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Mercados Relacionados

Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

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Are Recursive Language Models the "Next Frontier" of AI in 2026 according to Manifold users?

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Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?

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Top AI model in September?

Kalshi

Anthropic IPO by which date?

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Regras

TODO for more exact resolution criteria, but overall it will probably end up being resolved according to my subjective judgement.

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]?: A Manifold Markets cota No em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT] é resolvido?: By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT] deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
Como By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT] é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: TODO for more exact resolution criteria, but overall it will probably end up being resolved according to my subjective judgement.

By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]

By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]

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