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Atualizado há 8 horas
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16/09/22, 20:34 UTC1/01/30, 08:00 UTC
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The second question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things
The full text is: "In 2029, AI will not be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about plot, character, conflicts, motivations, etc. Key will be going beyond the literal text, as Davis and I explain in Rebooting AI."
Judgment will be by me, not Gary Marcus.
Ambiguous whether this means start or end of 2029, so I have set it for the end.
Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2)?
A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2) é resolvido?
By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2) deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
Como By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2) é liquidado?
A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The second question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things