By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
IAOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 58.3%
Previsores
161
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
30/09/23, 07:42 UTC2/01/29, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsVideo games released this year
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegras
A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate video games from any genre that exists today in 2023.
- The generated games should be comparable in quality to games created by 'AA' mid market studios in (or before) the year 2023.
- Some examples:
- "make me a multiplayer arena shooter in set in zero g"
- "make me a fantasy rpg with branching choices using a combat system inspired by D&D"
- "make me a voxel based open world exploration game based around crafting"
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- € 224,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 344,9 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 58% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games? é resolvido?
- By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate video games from any genre that exists today in 2023.