Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 60%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado23/07/26, 23:08 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham Exit Date - 2026
SmarketsNext General Election - Prime Minister At Poll Opening - Andy Burnham
SmarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 23, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, any member of the UK Cabinet under Prime Minister Andy Burnham formally resigns from their Cabinet post.
- Cabinet Minister Definition: Any individual officially listed as a member of the Cabinet of the United Kingdom on GOV.UK or widely reported by major media outlets (e.g., BBC, The Guardian, Financial Times) as holding a full Cabinet-level role in the Burnham administration.
- Resignation Definition: The minister must voluntarily step down from their Cabinet post (including resignations in protest, for personal reasons, or when requested/pressured to do so by the Prime Minister, provided a formal resignation is submitted and accepted).
- Being sacked, dismissed, or removed directly by the Prime Minister without resigning first.
- Being reassigned to a different Cabinet role during a reshuffle.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 691,8 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,6 mi
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 60% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 é resolvido?
- Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria