Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 25 de jul. de 2026, 09:40 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Previsão da comunidade atual2024-Q3 0%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
42
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado7/07/24, 6:3930/09/26, 22:59
Tendências
0%
100%
100%
0%
100%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
2026-Q458%
Tendência de volume
$1010 de jul.11d de dados25 de jul.
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Cabinet members as per https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers
- Resolves YES if any member of cabinet resigns, is fired, dies, or otherwise ceases to hold a position in cabinet in a listed calendar quarter (Jan-Mar, Apr-Jun, Jul-Sep, Oct-Dec).
- Being promoted to another cabinet position does not count as leaving.
- Losing one cabinet role when multiple are held (and thus remaining in cabinet) does not count as leaving.
- All cabinet members being replaced simultaneously e.g. at a general election will resolve YES.
- The only cabinet positions that will cause this to resolve are those listed under the "Cabinet Ministers" section of the webpage above.