Previsão da comunidade atual
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13
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado11/03/26, 02:12 UTC7/01/28, 23:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Context: https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems There are currently 4 categories of Frontier Math Open Problems: Moderately Interesting, Solid Result, Major Advance, Breakthrough.
- This market will resolve yes if 1 of the 3 breakthrough problems are solved by AI.
- If more 'Breakthrough' questions are added, they are also considered for the resolution of this market.
- If a problem is removed, it will not be considered.
- If it is solved by a human beforehand, it will be up to the judgement of EpochAI whether it is valid or not.
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 325 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 'Breakthrough' Frontier Math Open Problem solved before 2028?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 75% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 'Breakthrough' Frontier Math Open Problem solved before 2028 é resolvido?
- 'Breakthrough' Frontier Math Open Problem solved before 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 7 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como 'Breakthrough' Frontier Math Open Problem solved before 2028 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Context: https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems There are currently 4 categories of Frontier Math Open Problems: Moderately Interesting, Solid Result, Major Advance, Breakthrough.