Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Flavio Bolsonaro (99%)
Resolvido: 5 de out. de 2026, 01:03
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Lula1%
Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Other0%
Ganhou
Perdeu
Perdeu
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the highest number of valid votes (excluding blank and null votes) in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, according to official data released by the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
- First Round Date: October 4, 2026.
- Runoff Clarification: The market resolves based solely on the results of the first round.
- Even if no candidate achieves the absolute majority (>50%) required to win the presidency outright (thereby triggering a runoff on October 25, 2026), the candidate with the most valid votes in the first round will be declared the winner.
- Unlisted Winner: Because the options list is locked, if a candidate not listed among the choices wins the first round, this market will resolve to N/A.
