Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Before 2040, will an entirely AI-generated film earn a 5/10 or better on IMDB??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 59.6% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Before 2040, will an entirely AI-generated film earn a 5/10 or better on IMDB?

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Não 59.6%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Atualizado há 23 minutos

21/09/25, 01:21 UTC31/12/39, 23:59 UTC

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AI must be entirely responsible for writing the script, coming up with the plot, writing the dialogue, and creating the audio for the film.

There cannot be any human intervention more substantial than prompting: "make me a successful film".
In order to count, the film must reach 5/10 rating with at least 1000 total ratings.
If there is good reason to believe the ratings are substantially manipulated it will not resolve yes.
The film must be at least 90 minutes long.