Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86.3%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado24/11/25, 07:43 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Candace Owen’s claimed on Twitter that French president, Emmanuel Macron, is plotting to have her murdered.
- The market resolves to Yes if at least one major news outlet (e.g., NYT, Washington Post, LA Times) reports that the incident was an independent attack on her.
- If any such report characterizes the incident as possibly staged or not clearly an independent attack, the market will not resolve to Yes.”