At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena?
One-OffIATecnologia3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 95.3%
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Desatualizado1/07/26, 12:28 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if there is a model released by a European company, listed on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent, that ranks higher than at least one model that it currently listed on the leaderboard.
- The list of models on agent arena is currently:
- Claude Fable 5 (High)
- Claude Opus 4.8 (Thinking)
- GPT 5.5 (xHigh)
- Claude Opus 4.7
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? é resolvido?
- At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if there is a model released by a European company, listed on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent, that ranks higher than at least one model that it currently listed on the leaderboard.