At end of year 2026, how difficult will it be to obtain feminizing HRT as an adult in blue states?
ChainlinkPolítica comercialOne-OffIA2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
About the same as in 2024 64.6%Líder entre 4 opções
About the same as in 2024 64.6%Previsores
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Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado14/07/24, 17:30 UTC1/01/27, 05:59 UTC
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Some example scenarios for each option (this is not exhaustive, just representative):
- Notably easier: HRT is available over the counter; DIY HRT is completely legal rather than grey market or significantly cheaper.
- About the same: an HRT prescription can be obtained via informed consent at Planned Parenthood or similar; DIY HRT is grey market but in practice is only infrequently confiscated.
- Notably more difficult: an HRT prescription requires long waits or the approval of several experts; DIY HRT is confiscated somewhat frequently or is significantly more expensive.
- the named outcome: an HRT prescription is essentially illegal; DIY HRT carries significant legal risk.
- HRT is hormone replacement therapy, and includes various forms of estrogen/estradiol, anti-androgens, and progesterone.
