Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.6%
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62
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado6/01/26, 22:33 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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LimitlessRegras
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41139) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if during 2026, any of the following occur:
- Chine conducts a military attack on any land territory held by Taiwan.
- China conducts a military attack on Taiwan's military forces or coast guard.
- Most commercial ship traffic to at least one port administered by Taiwan ceases for at least 5 days due to physical actions by China.
Mercados abertos
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- Yes+0.1pt4%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de [ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando [ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? é resolvido?
- [ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como [ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41139) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.