Previsão da comunidade atual
Starmer Out / No General Election 87%-3.9ptLíder entre 4 opções
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-3.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
17/03/26, 19:50 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0.3%
0.2%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
PolymarketWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRegras
Resolves based as per 2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026 on this market and Yes/No on this market.
- Update 2026-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The election must be held in 2027 to count.
- An election occurring in 2026 does not qualify.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 2x2 Starmer out before 2027 / UK General Election in 2027?
- A Manifold Markets cota Starmer Out / No General Election em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 2x2 Starmer out before 2027 / UK General Election in 2027 é resolvido?
- 2x2 Starmer out before 2027 / UK General Election in 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como 2x2 Starmer out before 2027 / UK General Election in 2027 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves based as per 2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026 on this market and Yes/No on this market.