🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Trade PolicyDaily

Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Este mercado foi resolvido: Yes (2.5%)

Resolvido: 19 de ago. de 2026, 05:08

Resolução verificada pelo provedor

A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 97.5%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado ontem

Desatualizado

14/08/26, 19:5318/08/26, 20:59

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Yes2.5%

No97.5%

Não

97.5%

Sim

2.5%

Regras

Resolve YES if, before the new 50% U.S. tariffs on covered Canadian goods are scheduled to take effect on August 19, 2026, the United States and Canada officially announce an agreement that cancels, suspends, postpones, or materially reduces those tariffs.

An agreement in principle counts only if both governments officially confirm that it prevents or materially changes the scheduled August 19 tariffs.
Continuing negotiations, unofficial reports, or a unilateral statement that an agreement is “close” do not count.
Resolve NO if the tariffs take effect as scheduled without such an agreement.

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Trade PolicyDaily

Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Este mercado foi resolvido: Yes (2.5%)

Resolvido: 19 de ago. de 2026, 05:08

Resolução verificada pelo provedor

A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 97.5%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado ontem

Desatualizado

14/08/26, 19:5318/08/26, 20:59

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Yes2.5%

No97.5%

Não

97.5%

Sim

2.5%

Regras

An agreement in principle counts only if both governments officially confirm that it prevents or materially changes the scheduled August 19 tariffs.
Continuing negotiations, unofficial reports, or a unilateral statement that an agreement is “close” do not count.
Resolve NO if the tariffs take effect as scheduled without such an agreement.

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026??: A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 20 de agosto de 2026.
Quando 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026? é resolvido?: 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 18 de agosto de 2026.
Como 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolve YES if, before the new 50% U.S. tariffs on covered Canadian goods are scheduled to take effect on August 19, 2026, the United States and Canada officially announce an agreement that cancels, suspends, postpones, or materially reduces those tariffs.

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Perguntas frequentes

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