Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 6 de out. de 2026, 01:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 78.3%Líder entre 3 opções
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 78.3%Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
5/10/26, 13:02 UTC22/08/28, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Outcome verified from Congress of Deputies and King of Spain.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Prime Minister of Spain after the next election? · Alberto Núñez Feijóo 73%