KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 5% 99%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
26 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
629,8 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
12.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
21/08/26, 19:00 UTC6/09/27, 16:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by BSW in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Landeswahlleiter des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt
- The percentage is the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Saxony-Anhalt state election: BSW vote percent?
- A Kalshi cota At least 5% em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Saxony-Anhalt state election: BSW vote percent é resolvido?
- Saxony-Anhalt state election: BSW vote percent deverá ser resolvido em 6 de setembro de 2027.
- Como Saxony-Anhalt state election: BSW vote percent é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by BSW in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.