KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 42% 98%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
41 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
2,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
21/08/26, 19:00 UTC6/09/27, 16:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by AfD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Landeswahlleiter des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt
- The percentage is the Alternative for Germany's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent?
- A Kalshi cota At least 42% em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent é resolvido?
- Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent deverá ser resolvido em 6 de setembro de 2027.
- Como Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by AfD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.