KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 35% 78%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
172,5 €
Liquidez
172,5 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
8/09/26, 23:00 UTC20/09/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
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PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?
PolymarketCDU above 5% in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by AfD in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 31% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share??
- A Kalshi cota At least 35% em 78% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? é resolvido?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de setembro de 2027.
- Como Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by AfD in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 31% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.