KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 80%
Qualidade do mercado
37 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
0,2 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
20.0% / 28.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
19/08/26, 16:00 UTC16/09/26, 05:55 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiCore inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
PolymarketArgentina monthly inflation — August 2026
FutuurWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in September 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If United States Core Inflation Rate YoY is above United Kingdom Core Inflation Rate YoY for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only the first non-preliminary value reported for each measure will be used.
- The values will be compared as published in percent.
- A tie resolves No, and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,6 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 554,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,8 mil
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 79,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,6 mil
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in August??
- A Kalshi cota No em 80% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in August? é resolvido?
- Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in August? deverá ser resolvido em 16 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in August? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If United States Core Inflation Rate YoY is above United Kingdom Core Inflation Rate YoY for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.