KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
5.13% or above 99%Líder entre 15 opções
5.13% or above 99%Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
8,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto
6,1 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
30/09/26, 19:30 UTC1/10/26, 19:30 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 1h (informativo)
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
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PolymarketRegras
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.28% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 1, 2026, or one week following Oct 1, 2026.
Regras de cada resultado
- 5.13% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.11% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.15% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.19% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.18% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.17% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.21% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.20% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.23% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.22% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.25% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.24% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.27% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.26% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.29% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.28% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.31% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.30% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.33% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.32% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.35% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.34% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.37% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.36% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.39% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.38% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.