KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 3.25% 95%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
41 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
5.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
19/08/26, 19:30 UTC1/10/26, 11:55 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 389,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 24,4 mil
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.55% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.53% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,6 mil
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.91% or above99%
- 4.81% or above99%
- 4.83% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,5 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.85%+18.1pt100%
- 4.88%+58.0pt100%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,6 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%93%
- 5.45%-4.5pt76%
- 5.70%+32.0pt55%
+6 mais resultados
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de SOFR at end of Q3 2026?
- A Kalshi cota Above 3.25% em 95% em 16 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando SOFR at end of Q3 2026 é resolvido?
- SOFR at end of Q3 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como SOFR at end of Q3 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.