KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualAbove 3.75% 81.2%Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
190,9 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
76.0% / 83.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 26 minutos
1/07/26, 14:001/10/26, 11:55
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Above 3.75%82%
Tendência de volume
$2052 de jul.13d de dados26 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
0 €Above 3.00%: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
0 €Above 3.20%: 89%KALSHI
KALSHI
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 28, 2026?
30,5 mil €4.65% or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
263,7 €2023: 1.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
219,7 €Sim: 76.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSU.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
112 €Sim: 50.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAtivos nestes tópicos
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UK plans first G7 digital sovereign bond by early 2027CoindeskRegras
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q3 2026 is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.