KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
4.73% or above · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
4.73% or above 99%Líder entre 15 opções
4.73% or above 99%Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
6,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto
20,1 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
4.73% or aboveSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 29 minutos
6/11/26, 20:30 UTC9/11/26, 20:30 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 1h (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · 4.73% or above
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?
Kalshi7Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
KalshiUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 9, 2026, or one week following Nov 9, 2026.
Regras de cada resultado
- 4.73% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.75% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.71% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.77% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.79% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.81% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.80% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.83% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.87% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.85% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.89% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.91% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.95% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.93% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.97% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.99% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
