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Dados de 3 de nov. de 2026, 19:47 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
4.86% or above · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
4.86% or above 54%Líder entre 30 opções
4.86% or above 54%Qualidade do mercado
24 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
0 US$
Contratos em aberto: desconhecidoCompra / Venda
— / —
4.86% or aboveSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 minutos
1/11/26, 04:00 UTC30/11/26, 20:30 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 1h (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · 4.86% or above
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.
Regras de cada resultado
- 4.86% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.87% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.88% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.89% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.9% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.91% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.92% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.93% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.94% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.95% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.96% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.97% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.98% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.99% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.01% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.02% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.03% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.04% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.05% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.06% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.07% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.08% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.09% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.1% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.11% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.12% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.13% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.14% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.15% or above
- If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
