KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 0.0% 98%+3.0ptLíder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,2 mil €
Liquidez
4,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 25 minutos
29/07/26, 23:001/02/28, 4:59
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
- The initially reported value for December 2027 will be used.
- This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2027, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt33%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 44,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,6 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting34%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 116,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 11,4 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes56%
- No44%
- Volume total
- € 6,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 10,8 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 120,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,8 mil
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation US - Monthly
- 0.4%42.2%
- 0.3%+3.0pt28.4%
- ≥0.5%-11.5pt10.8%
+6 mais resultados
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026
- How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- CPI-U index in August
- US gasoline CPI for August
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US headline CPI inflation in December 2027?
- A Kalshi cota Above 0.0% em 98% em 26 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 é resolvido?
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2028.
- Como US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.