KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 0.0% 88%Líder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado
26 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
524,9 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
21.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
29/07/26, 23:00 UTC1/02/37, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
KalshiUS headline CPI inflation in December 2035
KalshiUS headline CPI inflation in December 2034
KalshiWill August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 18% for December 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2036 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
- The initially reported value for December 2036 will be used.
- This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2036, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2036 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2036 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2036 is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 77,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,5 mil
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US headline CPI inflation in December 2036?
- A Kalshi cota Above 0.0% em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US headline CPI inflation in December 2036 é resolvido?
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2036 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2037.
- Como US headline CPI inflation in December 2036 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2036 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.