KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
People's Party · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Preço registado
People's Party 76.5%Líder entre 4 opções
People's Party 76.5%Qualidade do mercado
54 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
69,2 €
Contratos em aberto
16,4 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
People's PartySpread
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
15/07/25, 14:00 UTC22/08/27, 14:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · People's Party
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many seats will Vox get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the People's Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsSpanish general election: 2nd place
KalshiSpanish general election: PSOE vote percent
KalshiSpanish general election: Vox vote percent
KalshiRegras
If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Ministry of Interior
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Clarification (10/06/26): For purposes of this Contract, seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).
Regras de cada resultado
- People's Party
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Vox, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sumar
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Sumar, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência entre plataformas da CoinRithm para People's Party é de 80%. A dispersão entre plataformas é de cerca de 3 pontos percentuais.
Referencia CoinRithm People's Party 80% · 2 plataformas · 3 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Limitless — Spanish general election winner? · People's Party 77%
