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PSOE · —
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Preço registado
PSOE 83.5%Líder entre 3 opções
PSOE 83.5%Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
140,3 €
Contratos em aberto
811,6 €
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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PSOESpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
5/10/26, 21:00 UTC29/11/27, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · PSOE
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Junta Electoral Central
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of Congress of Deputies seats in the Junta Electoral Central's final, certified general scrutiny (escrutinio general) resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by national vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published on election night Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Senate seats do NOT count Seats won by a party's regional federation or joint list that runs under its name count toward that party (for example, seats won by the Socialists' Party of Catalonia, PSC-PSOE, count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Regras de cada resultado
- PSOE
- If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party
- If the People's Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If Vox finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
