Probabilidade implícita atual
People's Party 81%Líder entre 4 opções
People's Party 81%Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
5/10/26, 12:58 UTC21/08/28, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
the named outcome · the named outcome · Sumar · Vox.
Additional context — Updated October 14, 2026
Seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).
If the winner of the next Spanish general election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Outcome verified from Ministry of Interior.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência entre plataformas da CoinRithm para People's Party é de 80%. A dispersão entre plataformas é de cerca de 1 ponto percentual.
Referencia CoinRithm People's Party 80% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Spanish general election winner? · People's Party 75%
