KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
3.88% or Above 57.7%Líder entre 7 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
4,1 mil €
Liquidez
4,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
24/09/26, 13:10 UTC25/09/26, 11:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
KalshiSOFR at end of Q4 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketRegras
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 24, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.83%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.84%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
+13 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 556,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 42,5 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.45%+25.5pt90%
- 5.50%83%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 79,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 25,8 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
+13 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 75,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 13,1 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 53,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,5 mil
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.07% or above99%
- 5.03% or above99%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,5 mil
POLYMARKETHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 4.50%-18.0pt28%
- Below 4.35%-3.5pt21%
- Below 4.40%-4.0pt21%
+6 mais resultados
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 25, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de SOFR for September 24, 2026?
- A Kalshi cota 3.88% or Above em 57.7% em 24 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando SOFR for September 24, 2026 é resolvido?
- SOFR for September 24, 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 25 de setembro de 2026.
- Como SOFR for September 24, 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.