KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
5% or above 99%Líder entre 26 opções
Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
10,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
17/09/26, 23:45 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
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PolymarketRegras
If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- This market covers the period between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
Mercados abertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 459,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 8,6 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%-9.5pt83%
- 5.45%-0.5pt74%
- 5.50%-5.0pt56%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 5.20%61%
- Below 5.15%+8.0pt56%
- Below 5.10%-2.0pt43%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-0.5pt19%
- Below 5.21%-1.0pt13%
- Below 5.12%+1.1pt4%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5.3% or above99%
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 21,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,8 mil
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- 4.75% or above-1.0pt73%
- 5% or above+6.0pt61%
- 5.1% or above+9.0pt58%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027??
- A Kalshi cota 5% or above em 99% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? é resolvido?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.