Probabilidade implícita atual
Eduardo Paes 89%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
89.0% / 94.0%
Spread
5.6%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
25/04/26, 14:004/10/27, 14:00
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Eduardo Paes89%
Comparar plataformas· Eduardo Paes
Ordenado por volume de 24h
Também disponível em Polymarket
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
0.3%2m
-0.3%94%
50%
50%
+20 mais resultados
91 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total209,5 mil €
Volume 24h512,7 €
POLYMARKET
Também disponível em Futuur
Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026
2m
92%
13%
4%
+3 mais resultados
40 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total280,9 €
Volume 24h280,9 €
FUTUURRegras
If Eduardo Paes wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$25 de jul.4d de dados8 de jul.
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If Eduardo Paes wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.