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  3. Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

8.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição11m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Josh Turek, 20-25%
Josh Turek, 20-25% 1%-8.0%
Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

77,6 €

Liquidez

157,4 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

2/06/26, 19:003/06/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Josh Turek, 20-25%1%

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

33.1%Fechados
Turek 20–30%
Turek 20–30%
+0.8%99%
Other
Other
50%
Turek <10%
Turek <10%
+33.1%37%

+3 mais resultados

40 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploLiquidez média
Volume total4,5 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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46 €
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Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

38,9 €
Shenna Bellows wins: 20%KalshiKALSHI

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Regras

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.