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  3. Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

2.7% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição12m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Graham Platner, ≥50%
Graham Platner, ≥50% 99%+2.7%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

49 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

172,9 €

Liquidez

1,2 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

99.0% / 99.3%

Spread

0.3%

Spread apertado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

1/04/26, 17:009/06/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Graham Platner, 10-20%
Graham Platner, 10-20%
0%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
0%
Janet Mills wins
Janet Mills wins
0%

Resultado escolhido

Graham Platner, ≥50%99%

Regras

If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Regras

If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.