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  3. South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

2.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição12m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Lindsey Graham, 25-30%
Lindsey Graham, 25-30% 99%+2.0%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

49 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

66,5 €

Liquidez

351,4 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

98.0% / 99.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread apertado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

8/06/26, 17:009/06/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Lindsey Graham, 25-30%99%

Regras

If the margin of victory for Lindsey Graham in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate primary falls within 0% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lindsey Graham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham wins, or the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

If the margin of victory for Lindsey Graham in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate primary falls within 0% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lindsey Graham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham wins, or the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.