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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

28.8% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleição
PolymarketPolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Este mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.

Probabilidade implícita atual
Turek 20–30%
Turek 20–30% 99%+0.8%
Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado

40 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

4,1 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

0.1% / 64.5%

Spread

64400.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+31.4%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

2/06/26, 16:002/06/26, 16:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Turek 20–30%
Turek 20–30%
+0.8%
99%
Other
Other
50%
Turek 30%+
Turek 30%+
+29.4%
34%
Turek <10%
Turek <10%
+28.8%
32%
Turek 10–20%
Turek 10–20%
+8.8%
10%
Wahls Wins
Wahls Wins
-0.1%
1%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

8.0%11m
Josh Turek, 20-25%
Josh Turek, 20-25%
-8.0%1%
Josh Turek, 25-30%
Josh Turek, 25-30%
+11.0%99%
Josh Turek, 30-35%
Josh Turek, 30-35%
-1.0%2%

+5 mais resultados

28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total314,6 €
Volume 24h77,7 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
  • If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Regras

Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
  • If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.