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  3. Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?
Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

8.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição1a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Barry Moore, ≥15%
Barry Moore, ≥15% 22%-8.0%
Líder entre 12 opções
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

221,2 €

Liquidez

250,7 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

8/06/26, 17:0016/06/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Barry Moore, ≥15%22%

Regras

If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.