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  3. California governor primary margin of victory?
California governor primary margin of victory?

California governor primary margin of victory?

7.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição11m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Xavier Becerra, 2-4%
Xavier Becerra, 2-4% 95%+7.0%
Líder entre 18 opções
Qualidade do mercado

49 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

11,5 €

Liquidez

865 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

96.0% / 97.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread apertado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

28/05/26, 0:002/06/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Xavier Becerra, 2-4%95%

Regras

If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$63,505.28-0.00%EthereumETH$1,665.96-0.79%SolanaSOL$66.74-0.39%DogecoinDOGE$0.0876+1.22%XRPXRP$1.13-0.56%BNBBNB$604.02-0.01%

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Regras

If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.