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  3. New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?
New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

1.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoLatin America11m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Gregg Hull, 12-15%
Gregg Hull, 12-15% 3%+1.0%
Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

1,1 €

Liquidez

168,3 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

2/06/26, 19:452/06/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Gregg Hull, 12-15%3%

Regras

If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.