KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 77%
Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
823 €
Liquidez
1,1 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
13.0% / 22.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
13/09/26, 20:00 UTC1/01/30, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
KalshiWill there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028?
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PolymarketRegras
If Northern Ireland agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to hold a border poll on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum??
- A Kalshi cota No em 77% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? é resolvido?
- Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Northern Ireland agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to hold a border poll on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.