Wisconsin Governor margin of victory
One-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20261a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 6 de out. de 2026, 00:13 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
Tiffany, 2+ pts 17%
Tiffany, 2+ pts 17%Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Contratos em aberto
8,1 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
29/04/26, 14:00 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed. If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regras de cada resultado
- Tiffany, 2+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tiffany, 5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
