KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 85%
Qualidade do mercado
57 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
868,2 €
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
13.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
29/04/26, 14:00 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Texas Governor margin of victory?
- A Kalshi cota No em 85% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Texas Governor margin of victory é resolvido?
- Texas Governor margin of victory deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como Texas Governor margin of victory é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.