KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democrats, 3+ pts 34%Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
599,9 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
5.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
5/05/26, 20:203/11/27, 15:00
Tendências
Regras
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Montana's 1st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Montana's 1st District margin of victory?
- A Kalshi cota Democrats, 3+ pts em 34% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Montana's 1st District margin of victory é resolvido?
- Montana's 1st District margin of victory deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como Montana's 1st District margin of victory é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Montana's 1st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.