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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Iowa Governor margin of victory
Iowa Governor margin of victory

Iowa Governor margin of victory

3.2% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição1a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Republicans, 9+ pts
Republicans, 9+ pts 6%-3.2%
Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

1,9 €

Liquidez

22,1 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

5.0% / 12.0%

Spread

140.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

29/04/26, 14:003/11/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Republicans, 9+ pts6%

Regras

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.

Mercados Relacionados

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Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

35,5 €
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts: 100%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

5,7 €
Republicans, 1+ pts: 35%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Governor margin of victory

Florida Governor margin of victory

3 €
Republicans, 3+ pts: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

2,5 €
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts: 17%KalshiKALSHI
California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

2,2 €
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts: 90%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

2,1 €
Democrats, 3+ pts: 50%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.