KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
LA-02 97%Líder entre 6 opções
LA-02 97%Qualidade do mercado
54 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
18,5 €
Contratos em aberto
3,7 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
28/09/26, 23:00 UTC3/11/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
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If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 1st Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Louisiana Secretary of State
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.