KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 97%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
8,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
1.4% / 3.0%
Spread
1.6 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
9/06/25, 17:30 UTC4/11/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party Nominee for President for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWhen will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
KalshiCalifornia Governor winner?
KalshiRegras
If Kamala Harris runs for Governorship of California before Nov 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 114,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 185,9 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 mais resultados
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor??
- A Kalshi cota No em 97% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? é resolvido?
- Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de novembro de 2027.
- Como Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Kamala Harris runs for Governorship of California before Nov 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets.