KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 82%
Qualidade do mercado
42 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
19,1 €
Liquidez
2,9 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
12.0% / 18.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
25/08/26, 16:30 UTC23/09/26, 04:55 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Argentina inflation rate MoM for September
KalshiSouth Africa inflation rate MoM for August
KalshiBrazil inflation rate in September
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in Singapore Real GDP exceed -5% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in Singapore Real GDP exceed 0% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in Singapore Real GDP exceed -1% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If Japan Inflation Rate YoY is above Singapore Inflation Rate YoY for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only the first non-preliminary value reported for each measure will be used.
- The values will be compared as published in percent.
- A tie resolves No, and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 128,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 95,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 29 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29 mil
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,1 mil
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August??
- A Kalshi cota No em 82% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August? é resolvido?
- Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August? deverá ser resolvido em 23 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Japan Inflation Rate YoY is above Singapore Inflation Rate YoY for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.